Inbox: Seattle’s up-and-coming system, biggest prospect jumps
The biggest question we’ve been getting lately, of course, is: When are we updating our lists?
The answer is: Very soon.
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• Top 100 prospects | Stats | Video | Podcast | Complete coverage
Tuesday, to be exact. And to help generate a little more excitement and anticipation, I’m answering questions that mostly have to do with what the re-rank will look like.
Which team has an up-and-coming farm system that you think could be in the top 5 by 2026? –@Blahbla92342524
In addition to re-ranking all of our lists, we will also come out with a new farm system rankings not long after all the other lists go live. We haven’t started talking over the farm systems just yet, but I at least have a feel for the teams that I do the Top 30 work for and how the addition of draftees and the subtraction of prospects via graduation or trade have impacted them.
From that group of 10 teams, the one that jumped out to me when contemplating this question is the Seattle Mariners. Now, if some of the young hitters, like Cole Young or Harry Ford, graduate before 2026, that might impact it a little bit, but they’ve got some good things going down on the farm. Even without an earth-shattering Draft this year — I like Jurrangelo Cijntje and getting Ryan Sloan in the second round was great, but that’s it for real standouts so far – not only is this a deep list, but there’s a ton of offensive talent at the top. I’m not giving anything away here by telling you that you shouldn’t expect the number of Mariners in the Top 100 to change from where it is currently. It’s all hitters, and three of them are still teenagers. Behind that top group, there are guys who feel like big leaguers, even if they aren’t stars, future starting pitchers, utility guys and back-end relievers. I think the Mariners do a terrific job of scouting and developing that I believe they’ll continue to get the most out of what they have in their system and rise up those kinds of rankings.
What positions would consider the strongest and weakest of the new top 100 list? — @miami_or_nothin
There are always some positions that are tough to fill out. In the past, first base and second base were the ones with scarcity that we often had trouble figuring out who to put in our top 10 by position lists.
We just went through the process of making sure we have all those lined up and we were all very surprised that all the positions are well-represented, to the point where we don’t have to add or find too many additional names at any position. We sometimes use a simple formula to come up with Prospect Points, awarding 100 points for the No. 1 prospect, 99 for No. 2, all the way down to one point for the No. 100 prospect. We’ll use it to give some context about which teams have a lot of top-end talent (though that is far from the only factor we consider for farm system rankings). Doing it by position in our yet-to-be released Top 100 gives us these standings:
SS: 1,305
OF: 1,083
RHP: 818
C: 553
1B: 379
2B: 340
3B: 335
LHP: 236
I’m not going to tell you how many Top 100 guys at each position there are; I have to leave some intrigue, don’t I? Even the lowest group above, the lefties, had enough depth that it was a light lift to fill out the top 10. The top three, without having done these calculations in the past, tend to be the deepest/best.
Who will make the biggest jump from your preseason ranks to mid-season ranks either in a top 30 list or on the Top 100 list? — @FanOfAllTeams
As luck would have it, we just put out a story on the guy who boosted his stock the most on each team’s new Top 30 list. That story doesn’t say exactly how much each guy jumped, so I’m not about to let that info out now. You’ll have to check it out on Tuesday. But I thought it was interesting that 22 of the players in the story did not begin the year on a team Top 30 list, but were added as a replacement once the season got going.
I’ll bring up one player, mostly because he wasn’t in that story because he was traded and moved way up his new list. That’s George Klassen, who was poised to make a large leap on the Phillies’ list at the re-rank, then he was sent to the Angels in the Carlos Estévez deal close to the Trade Deadline. He’s at No. 3 on the Angels list and he’ll be in that neck of the woods after the re-rank. Not bad considering he was No. 29 on the Phillies’ list to start the season. And we were lucky enough to have Klassen on this week’s MLB Pipeline Podcast to boot.
The Nationals duo of Travis Sykora and Jarlin Susana have been putting up impressive numbers this summer. What do you see as the ceiling on both prospects and do you think they are likely Top 100 prospects in the upcoming re-rank? — @PJLeesburg
Speaking of the pod, this was the question we answered, so be sure to check that out to hear us breaking this down at length.
In a nutshell: Both have the upside/ceiling to be frontline starters if they keep trending in this direction. They have the pure stuff and the size to fit the part; it’s just a question of them commanding the baseball enough. The 2024 season was a good one for their development and again, I’m not going to answer the part about rankings, but rest assured they’re making healthy bumps up the Nationals’ Top 30.